Auto-generated from today's data. Skim here, expand below for full detail.
What happened in the last ~24–48h that can impact the whole market, including crypto. Macro first, crypto second. Each item is labeled Positive, Negative or Conditional for BTC.
Currently open, unresolved factors. Left = supportive for price, right = pressuring price. Impact = author's estimate of potential strength. Cards start collapsed — click a title to read the detail.
Big scheduled events that can move BTC — Fed decisions, inflation prints, jobs data, elections. Only the next event starts expanded; the rest are one click away. Countdowns update automatically; passed events fade out.
Mechanical 24h lean from 7 common indicators plus a last-day volatility meter, computed live from Binance candles. Gauges always visible — the 7 individual votes and backtest stay collapsed until you want them.
Over 662 directional calls the lean hit 51.2% — a coin flip, and we publish that number rather than hide it. The volatility meter is the part with real signal: after an EXTREME reading the next session's range beat the sample median 79.5% of the time.
Volatility clustering is a persistent, well-documented effect; short-horizon direction is close to random. Backtest on Binance BTCUSDT daily closes at UTC close, scored against the next 24h. No costs or slippage. Not financial advice.
btc_today.js → TODAY_DATA. Edit that one object to publish a new day — no HTML changes needed.lean-backtest.cjs, and reports the lean's real hit rate next to the volatility meter's.